Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024089 0.025998 0.027988 0.030220 0.032654 0.035230 0.038167
2025-11-30 0.020773 0.023486 0.026464 0.029985 0.034043 0.038585 0.044068
2025-12-07 0.018609 0.021772 0.025382 0.029821 0.035155 0.041385 0.049250
2025-12-14 0.016958 0.020392 0.024433 0.029567 0.035949 0.043669 0.053785
2025-12-21 0.015802 0.019453 0.023867 0.029632 0.037015 0.046225 0.058697
2025-12-28 0.014737 0.018518 0.023195 0.029455 0.037687 0.048242 0.062961
2026-01-04 0.013885 0.017774 0.022687 0.029411 0.038468 0.050378 0.067448
2026-01-11 0.013208 0.017198 0.022338 0.029520 0.039415 0.052739 0.072335
2026-01-18 0.012581 0.016642 0.021967 0.029553 0.040225 0.054919 0.077061
2026-01-25 0.012080 0.016218 0.021738 0.029746 0.041240 0.057406 0.082347
2026-02-01 0.011454 0.015584 0.021179 0.029432 0.041494 0.058794 0.086064
2026-02-08 0.010826 0.014913 0.020529 0.028941 0.041445 0.059709 0.089090
2026-02-15 0.010338 0.014433 0.020149 0.028855 0.042040 0.061692 0.094022
2026-02-22 0.009836 0.013912 0.019684 0.028621 0.042402 0.063348 0.098574
2026-03-01 0.009398 0.013457 0.019290 0.028463 0.042859 0.065160 0.103479
2026-03-08 0.008972 0.012998 0.018862 0.028222 0.043158 0.066721 0.108053
2026-03-15 0.008658 0.012689 0.018641 0.028283 0.043928 0.069066 0.114088
2026-03-22 0.008309 0.012310 0.018291 0.028116 0.044309 0.070779 0.119132
2026-03-29 0.008014 0.012000 0.018031 0.028074 0.044883 0.072834 0.124901
2026-04-05 0.007774 0.011761 0.017869 0.028177 0.045699 0.075331 0.131627
2026-04-12 0.007532 0.011508 0.017671 0.028209 0.046385 0.077634 0.138142
2026-04-19 0.007337 0.011323 0.017570 0.028392 0.047336 0.080447 0.145805
2026-04-26 0.007053 0.010979 0.017198 0.028094 0.047421 0.081706 0.150559